-Peter F. Drucker
Innovation and Entrepreneurship
"Checklist routines avoid a lot of errors. You should have all this elementary [worldly] wisdom and then you should go through a mental checklist in order to use it. There is no other procedure in the world that will work as well."
-- Charlie Munger - 2007
Charlie Munger’s Two-Track Analysis:
1. First, what are the factors that really govern the interests involved, rationally considered?
2. And second, what are the subconscious influences where the brain at a subconscious level is automatically doing these things – which by and large are useful, but which often misfunction.
One approach is rationality – the way you’d work out a bridge problem: by evaluating the real interests, the real probabilities and so forth. And the other is to evaluate the psychological factors that cause subconscious conclusions – many of which are wrong.
And
Charlie Munger’s “ultra-simple general notions”:
1. Solve the big no-brainer questions first.
2. Use math to support your reasoning.
3. Think through a problem backward, not just forward.
4. Use a multidisciplinary approach.
5. Properly consider results from a combination of factors, or lollapalooza effects.
Peter Bevelin has some checklists in his book Seeking Wisdom: From Darwin to Munger that may also be worth a look to all interested persons.
LINK: http://www.valueinvestingworld.com/2007/05/charlie-and-checklists.html
